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Why Bitcoin Could Reach $200,000 Without the US Dollar Collapsing

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Bitcoin has been in the spotlight for over a decade, and its potential as a long-term store of value continues to attract attention. Recently, Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, shared his insights, suggesting that Bitcoin’s price could reach $200,000 without requiring a collapse of the US dollar. Let’s explore his reasoning.


Bitcoin as a “Store-of-Value” Asset

Bitcoin’s potential value as a “store of value” asset lies at the heart of Hougan’s argument. A store-of-value asset is one that holds or increases in value over time, much like gold. With global economic shifts and uncertainty, assets that maintain or grow their value are highly attractive to investors.

The Two Key Drivers Behind Bitcoin’s Rise

Hougan points to two main reasons why Bitcoin could reach six-figure territory:

  1. Bitcoin’s Maturity as a Store of Value:
    Bitcoin’s value could grow as it establishes itself as a store of value. Currently, Bitcoin’s total market cap is only a fraction of gold’s. If Bitcoin’s market share increases to even half of gold’s $18 trillion market cap, Hougan suggests it could reach an astounding $400,000 per coin.
  2. Continued Devaluation of Fiat Currencies:
    Governments worldwide have been increasing money supply through various economic policies, leading to concerns over currency devaluation. Hougan argues that as fiat currencies lose purchasing power, investors will seek more secure assets like Bitcoin, driving up demand and price.

Why Bitcoin’s Value Can Increase Without the Dollar Collapsing

Hougan emphasizes that Bitcoin’s price doesn’t need dollar crash to surge. He sees a scenario where Bitcoin’s demand grows due to fiat currency depreciation, but not a complete collapse. If Bitcoin simply holds its current percentage of the market and interest triples, each Bitcoin could hit $200,000.

Economic Uncertainty Fuels Demand for Hard Assets

The demand for traditional assets like gold has surged as economic uncertainty increases, with recent all-time highs in gold prices. Hougan suggests Bitcoin, similarly, stands to benefit as more investors look for stable, alternative assets. With the dollar’s purchasing power diminishing due to inflationary policies, Bitcoin could see a natural rise in demand.

Looking Forward: Is $200,000 Realistic?

As Bitcoin matures, in line with Hougan’s expectations, reaching a value of $200,000 or even higher seems feasible over time. He believes that demand for Bitcoin will continue to rise as it becomes a reliable store of value for those looking for alternatives to fiat currency. With increasing global economic pressures and technological competition, Hougan’s argument suggests that Bitcoin may become increasingly relevant.ever.

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